Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.824252 0.926564 1.037990 1.168570 1.317678 1.482949 1.680447
2025-01-26 0.673440 0.813649 0.979035 1.189460 1.451404 1.768467 2.183922
2025-02-02 0.592269 0.750391 0.947047 1.211489 1.560646 2.009838 2.637851
2025-02-09 0.529439 0.696932 0.914358 1.220257 1.644289 2.218292 3.066027
2025-02-16 0.479839 0.652534 0.885069 1.225239 1.717159 2.413488 3.493146
2025-02-23 0.445302 0.623495 0.871469 1.247289 1.812194 2.645451 3.997244
2025-03-02 0.401356 0.576103 0.826226 1.217021 1.824457 2.753238 4.321277
2025-03-09 0.378622 0.556796 0.818944 1.240980 1.919111 2.993818 4.882403
2025-03-16 0.349870 0.525593 0.790488 1.228435 1.953287 3.139620 5.301396
2025-03-23 0.330242 0.506421 0.778327 1.239651 2.025671 3.353574 5.862066
2025-03-30 0.306630 0.478909 0.750438 1.221950 2.046628 3.480519 6.279848
2025-04-06 0.287171 0.456429 0.728609 1.211921 2.078869 3.628965 6.754068
2025-04-13 0.261051 0.421482 0.684177 1.160158 2.033781 3.636174 6.963602
2025-04-20 0.250196 0.411221 0.680369 1.179420 2.119842 3.896284 7.713930
2025-04-27 0.240763 0.402553 0.678390 1.201387 2.212511 4.178273 8.547965
2025-05-04 0.229994 0.390700 0.669780 1.210060 2.279993 4.417287 9.323073
2025-05-11 0.219562 0.378644 0.659786 1.214997 2.340145 4.647327 10.110507
2025-05-18 0.212358 0.371836 0.658719 1.236841 2.436315 4.962818 11.140694
2025-05-25 0.198702 0.352273 0.632564 1.206855 2.421714 5.038127 11.609404
2025-06-01 0.193024 0.347139 0.633167 1.230591 2.523212 5.380322 12.785416
2025-06-08 0.183298 0.333702 0.616868 1.218162 2.544711 5.543508 13.531829
2025-06-15 0.177035 0.326469 0.612087 1.229274 2.619287 5.837811 14.667183
2025-06-22 0.167990 0.313256 0.594563 1.211738 2.627004 5.973621 15.395397